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Thursday, October 24, 2019

American Airlines Center

John Gibson and the Anaheim Ducks (6-4-0, 4th in the Pacific Division) head to American Airlines Center on Thursday where they'll take on the Dallas Stars (3-7-1, 5th in the Central Division). The line on this game has the Ducks priced at +122 and the Stars are at -135. The total has been set at 5.5. The Ducks cover 60.0% of the time, having gone 6-4 SU. The Stars cover 27.3% of the time, going 3-8 straight up.

The Anaheim Ducks head into this game holding a record of 6 wins and 4 losses, putting them at 4th in the Pacific Division. During the season thus far, they have scored a total of 24 goals which ranks 10th in the Western Conference and 19th in the NHL. Their goal differential is +2, putting them at 14th in the NHL. The Ducks currently have a total of 12 points, which ranks 10th in the NHL and 4th in the Western Conference. When it comes to shots on goal, they currently have a total of 286 which ranks 8th in the conference and 17th in the NHL. As a team, Anaheim has obtained a total of 150 hits which means they have an average of 15 per game. They currently have a total of 90 blocks for the year. The man in the crease for Anaheim is John Gibson from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. He is 26 years old and has totaled 455 minutes protecting the net this season. Gibson is conceding an average of 2.24 goals per contest which puts him at 7th among Western Conference goalies and 11th among goalies in the NHL. For the year, he has allowed 17 goals. His save percentage is .927 which puts him at 7th among Western Conference goalies.

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The Anaheim Ducks had a rough game after their 6 - 1 defeat to the Nashville Predators the last time they stepped on the ice. The Ducks had an offensive game that was below their expectations in the defeat. For this matchup, they scored on 1 out of the 27 shots they attempted. In addition, they had 3 power play chances but didn't net one. Anaheim had a total of 22 penalty minutes in this outing. The Corsi for the Ducks was 37 and the Corsi against was 26 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 58.7%. Their Fenwick sat at 24 and the Fenwick against sat at 19, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 55.8%. They took 24 face-off wins and lost 16 of all total face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 62.1% and they had a PDO of 82.0 for this one. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Nashville Predators tallied a total of 30 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 6 minutes in the box and they notched 6 power play opportunities.

The Stars will be the team across the ice and for the year they sit with 3 wins and 7 losses. With reference to goal differential, they rank 13th in the conference and 26th in the NHL with -8. They have a total of 23 goals for this year which is 13th in the West. Dallas has a team save % of .903 which is good for 15th in the NHL, meaning there should be some chances to score. They have a shooting percentage of 7.5% putting them at 15th in the conference. In net for Dallas is Ben Bishop who is having an average season by surrendering 2.57 goals against average and that has him ranked 10th among Western Conference goaltenders and 15th in the NHL. In the 419 mins he has been on the ice, he's allowed 18 goals. He holds a save % of .913, which has him ranked 11th among Western Conference goaltenders and 20th in the NHL.

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The Dallas Stars faced the Ottawa Senators in a matchup where the Stars notched a win by a mark of 2 - 1. For this game, Dallas wound up with a 66.7% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 50 and the other team having a Corsi of 25. They had a Fenwick percentage of 67.9% with a Fenwick of 36 and the Senators having a 17 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Dallas had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their PDO was 96.3 and their oZS percentage was 51.6%. The Stars scored 2 goals out of the 43 shots on goal they tried. They had 5 power play attempts in this outing and were able to convert 1 out of those chances. On the other side of the ice, the Senators had 2 power play chances but didn't tally a goal. Dallas allowed 20 shots on goal and the Senators ended up with 10 penalty mins.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Dallas (-135) and under 2.5 total goals

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The Los Angeles Kings (11-14-2) visit the rival Anaheim Ducks (11-12-4) Monday at Honda Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Kings-Ducks sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.

Kings at Ducks: Projected starting goalies

Jonathan Quick vs. John Gibson

Quick is 7-10-1 through 18 starts with a .882 save percentage and 3.36 goals against average. He allowed four goals on just 22 shots in a loss to the San Jose Sharks his last time out and is 2-2-1 over his last five games.

Gibson is 1-2-2 across his last five outings, and most recently gave up three goals on 20 shots in a home loss against the Winnipeg Jets. He is 8-11-2 with a .910 SV% and 2.86 GAA.

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Kings at Ducks: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated 9 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Kings 3, Ducks 2

Moneyline (ML)

The Ducks and Kings hold the bottom two spots in the Pacific Division. The Kings have been playing their best hockey of the year of late, going 6-3-1 across their last 10 games including a 2-1 home win over the Winnipeg Jets Saturday. The Ducks have dropped two straight and were shutout 3-0 by those same Jets at home Friday.

The KINGS (+120) are just 2-9-1 on the road while being a respectable 9-5-1 on home ice. The Ducks (-143) are 7-5-2 at home but just 2-5-3 over their last 10 games overall. Take the value with the visitors as the two teams continue heading in opposite directions.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Kings to win outright in regulation, overtime or a shootout returns a profit of $12.

Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The moneyline is the more profitable play at plus-money, but the KINGS (+1.5, -238) can also be taken on the spread with one goal of insurance in the event of a loss. The Kings are 12-15 against the spread overall and 4-8 on the road, but the Ducks are just 5-9 ATS at home (13-14 overall).

The Ducks’ last two wins were each decided by three goals, but they went just 2-5 straight up in that time. I like LA to come away with the victory, but the spread helps protect against this game going to overtime or a shootout.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the UNDER 5.5 (-120). The Kings went 2-7-1 against the projected goal totals across their last 10 games while the Ducks were 7-3 in favor of the Over. Quick has been playing better of late following an awful start to the year and keeps this one short of the number.

Duck77 Sports Betting

Esten’s NHL betting record: 97-81

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